Hina Inoue vs Polina Leykina Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second serve performance over the last 6 months shows Polina Leykina has an edge, winning 41.02% of points, compared to Hina Inoue's 37.47%. How does this impact match predictions? Typically, a higher second serve point win rate can suggest better resilience during rallies.
• In return games, Polina Leykina shows superiority, winning 56.56% of her opponent's second serve points, compared to Inoue's 48.24%. This trend extends to first serve returns, with Leykina at 38.54% and Inoue at 28.79%, marking a potential advantage for Leykina in this head-to-head.
• Under pressure, Leykina edges slightly in breakpoint saves with 47.84%, compared to Inoue's 46.05%. Is this difference significant? In tightly contested matches, such marginal differences can shift momentum.
• Over the past year, Leykina has shown higher match win percentage at 63.04% compared to Inoue's 57.35%, suggesting overall stronger performance.
• Both players excel on Hard surfaces with 65% win, but they vary on their weaker surfaces; Inoue struggles more on I.hard, while Leykina finds Grass challenging.
• In terms of player level, Leykina's 65.52% win in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments compared to Inoue's 51.16% in Challengers/ITF > $10K tournaments reflects better outcomes in her recent matches.
• Opponent quality indicates relatively similar adversaries, with Inoue's average opponent ranking slightly higher at 353.34 versus Leykina’s 362.35.
• In deciding set scenarios, both players display an equal win rate of 56%, but it's crucial for in-game predictions if the match extends to a third set.

Editorial Prediction (October 16, 2025, UTC):

In terms of second serve and return game statistics, Polina Leykina displays a consistent advantage over Hina Inoue, suggesting a stronger baseline performance that could be significant in their upcoming match.

Leykina also has a slight edge in saving breakpoints, which can be pivotal during crucial match-play situations. Coupled with a higher win percentage in recent matches, she appears more consistent on the court.

While both players are equally matched on Hard surfaces, Leykina's edge in the recent match success rate, particularly against players of similar ranks, drives our prediction.

Given these trends and comparative statistics, Polina Leykina is more likely to emerge victorious in their upcoming encounter.